E1: Vaccines save 150 million lives, a Toddler's Hearing Restored Through Gene Therapy, Electric Cement Breakthrough, and More

E1: Vaccines save 150 million lives, a Toddler's Hearing Restored Through Gene Therapy, Electric Cement Breakthrough, and More
18-month-old Opal Sandy, who was born completely deaf because of a rare genetic condition, can now hear unaided for the first time in a groundbreaking first gene therapy trial

Tony Morley, June 4th, 2024

"On what principle is it that with nothing but improvement behind us, we are to expect nothing but deterioration before us?” — Thomas Babington

Welcome to The Up Wing, Edition 1, the best in progress and optimistic news, collated, curated, and delivered weekly. We report on the past, present, and future of human progress, progress studies, and optimistic news. We're pro-growth, free markets, classical liberalism, Enlightenment, science, technology, and a better future for all humanity. We believe in telling the story of progress and inspiring a better future; after all, to quote Johan Norberg

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UK toddler has hearing restored in world's first gene therapy trial

In a surgery lasting just 16 minutes, UK toddler Opal has had her hearing restored through a breakthrough gene editing treatment; restoring her ability to "hear almost perfectly." It's a groundbreaking moment that's left her parents "gobsmacked"

"We have results from [Opal] which are very spectacular – so close to normal hearing restoration. So we do hope it could be a potential cure.” “There’s been so much work, decades of work … to finally see something that actually worked in humans …. It was quite spectacular and a bit awe-inspiring really. It felt very special."
UK toddler has hearing restored in world first gene therapy trial
Opal Sandy can hear almost perfectly after groundbreaking surgery that took just 16 minutes

Global life expectancy to increase by nearly 5 years by 2050

It's one of the best headlines of the year you might have missed. The average global life expectancy is forecasted to increase by nearly five years by 2050, from 73.6 years to 78.1 years, as the average global burden of disease continues to fall.

Global life expectancy to increase by nearly 5 years by 2050 despite geopolitical, metabolic, and environmental threats, reports new global study
The latest findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) forecast that global life expectancy will increase by 4.9 years in males and 4.2 years in females between 2022 and 2050.

Ongoing reductions in cardiovascular diseases, respiratory infections, and tuberculosis, maternal and neonatal deaths, and child mortality rates are helping to continue to drive an overall positive trend in global life expectancy rates. Source: Forecasts of disease burden through 2050, IHME, May 16th, 2024

“While health inequalities between the highest- and lowest-income regions will remain, the gaps are shrinking, with the biggest increases anticipated in sub-Saharan Africa.”

Root Source: Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050, The Lancet, May 18th, 2024

These shoes are made from wind turbine blades

Renewable energy operator Acciona Energía, in partnership with designer El Ganso, has launched a trainer made with renewable energy and recycled wind turbine blades, the Acciona Energía x El Ganso Sneaker.

"The powder obtained from the wind blade is used as raw material for the manufacture of the soles"

Rather than a global solution for the world's decommissioned turbine blades, the trainers are a concept project, helping inspire innovative and creative thought on the cost-benefit analysis of renewable energy and the complex challenges of recycling turbine components.

A billion tonnes of very low carbon "Electric Cement" by 2050?

A major breakthrough in merging the concrete recycling and steel manufacturing process, what a team from Cambridge University is calling "Electric Cement," could produce very low-emission concrete at scale, "one billion tonnes per year by 2050"

"The method, which the researchers say is “an absolute miracle”, uses the electrically-powered arc furnaces used for steel recycling to simultaneously recycle cement, the carbon-hungry component of concrete."
Cement recycling method could help solve one of the world’s biggest climate challenges
Researchers from the University of Cambridge have developed a method to produce very low emission concrete at scale – an innovation that could be transformative in the transition to net zero.

A new breast tissue preservation process could be a game changer in breast cancer drug development.

"Scientists say they have a made a potentially “gamechanging” breakthrough in breast cancer research after discovering how to preserve breast tissue outside the body for at least a week."
"This breakthrough means that researchers will be able to test new drugs in the lab with far greater accuracy, which should mean fewer drugs failing at clinical trials and ultimately better results for women affected by this terrible disease."
Scientists make potential breast cancer breakthrough after preserving tissue in gel
Ability to preserve tissue in a special gel solution for at least a week will help doctors identify most effective drug treatments

The world has become more resilient to disasters, but investment is needed to save more lives in future

"Deaths from disasters have fallen, but we need to build even more resilience to ensure this progress doesn’t reverse."

The world has become more resilient to disasters, but investment is needed to save more lives
Deaths from disasters have fallen, but we need to build even more resilience to ensure this progress doesn’t reverse.

"Every ten seconds, one child is saved by a vaccine against a fatal disease."

"Vaccination against measles has had the biggest impact, saving 94 million lives over the last 50 years — more than 60% of the total." — Hannah Ritchie for Our World in Data https://lnkd.in/gAtZv-Nu

"That’s 150 million children who will grow up, experience life, and contribute to the world; over a hundred million sets of parents who were spared the tragedy of having to bury their children."

Hannah Ritchie for Our World In Data, May 6th, 2024

A new MRI prototype proof of concept is lighter, cheaper, and less power-hungry

Next-gen AI-powered (MRI) prototype is 92% lighter, consumes 93% less energy, and could be 96% less expensive. — MRI Sheds Its Shielding and Superconducting Magnets A cheaper, smaller scanner uses AI to match other MRIs' image quality

A team from the University of Hong Kong published their results in Science on May 10th, 2024. Root Source: DOI: 10.1126/science.adm7168

Next-generation MRI scanner designed for ultra-high-resolution human brain imaging at 7 Tesla - Nature Methods
A combination of hardware developments has increased the achievable spatial resolution in 7 Tesla human neuroimaging to about 0.4 mm.

Concrete design breakthrough replaces 80% of its cement content for coal ash

"New modelling reveals that low-carbon concrete developed at RMIT University can recycle double the amount of coal ash compared to current standards, halve the amount of cement required and perform exceptionally well over time."
Green concrete recycling twice the coal ash is built to last
New modelling reveals that low-carbon concrete developed at RMIT University can recycle double the amount of coal ash compared to current standards.

A new blood test can predict the risk of returning cancer years in advance; it's a life-changing breakthrough for survivors.

"A new blood test can predict the risk of breast cancer returning three years before any tumours show up on scans in an “incredibly exciting” breakthrough that could help more women beat the disease for good."
"The test detects minuscule amounts of cancer DNA in the bloodstream. Trial results show it is so sensitive that it can accurately predict the risk of cancer coming back, months or even years before the usual signs or symptoms start to emerge."
Predictive blood test hailed as ‘incredibly exciting’ breast cancer breakthrough
New ‘liquid biopsy’ will act as an early warning sign to anticipate risk of tumours returning

Rare oysters make a comeback in Scottish estuary, after being "wiped out by overfishing and pollution"

A skipper and a team of 128 people and marine biologists worked for 500 hours to reestablish 15,0000 of a planned 30,000 rare oysters in the Firth of Forth estuary in Scotland. After 67 years, the return of oysters to Firth of Forth is the first since the last verified record of oysters in the estuary in 1957.

Rare oysters being reintroduced to Firth of Forth
About 30,000 European native flatbed oysters are being put back in the Forth having been declared extinct in 1957.

An Adjuvant Made in Yeast Could Lower Vaccine Cost and Boost Availability

"Scientists engineer microbes to produce a complex plant-based molecule that is widely used to increase the effectiveness of vaccines"

An Adjuvant Made in Yeast Could Lower Vaccine Cost and Boost Availability
Scientists engineer microbes to produce a complex plant-based molecule that is widely used to increase the effectiveness of vaccines

The results are in: the HPV vaccine prevents 90% of cervical cancer cases, and pre-cancerous conditions by around 95%

The results are in — vaccinating your pre-teen daughter against HPV may well save her life or prevent morbidity. Nearly all cervical cancers (99.7%) are caused by infection from a high-risk HPV — now a new study published in the British Medical Journal has shown the HPV vaccine prevents 90% of cervical cancer cases.

"In the group of women offered vaccination at age 12-13, rates of cervical cancer and CIN3 in the additional year of follow-up were, respectively, 84% and 94% lower than in the older unvaccinated group."
Effect of the HPV vaccination programme on incidence of cervical cancer and grade 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia by socioeconomic deprivation in England: population based observational study
Objectives To replicate previous analyses on the effectiveness of the English human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programme on incidence of cervical cancer and grade 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN3) using 12 additional months of follow-up, and to investigate effectiveness across levels of socioeconomic deprivation. Design Observational study. Setting England, UK. Participants Women aged 20-64 years resident in England between January 2006 and June 2020 including 29 968 with a diagnosis of cervical cancer and 335 228 with a diagnosis of CIN3. In England, HPV vaccination was introduced nationally in 2008 and was offered routinely to girls aged 12-13 years, with catch-up campaigns during 2008-10 targeting older teenagers aged <19 years. Main outcome measures Incidence of invasive cervical cancer and CIN3. Results In England, 29 968 women aged 20-64 years received a diagnosis of cervical cancer and 335 228 a diagnosis of CIN3 between 1 January 2006 and 30 June 2020. In the birth cohort of women offered vaccination routinely at age 12-13 years, adjusted age standardised incidence rates of cervical cancer and CIN3 in the additional 12 months of follow-up (1 July 2019 to 30 June 2020) were, respectively, 83.9% (95% confidence interval (CI) 63.8% to 92.8%) and 94.3% (92.6% to 95.7%) lower than in the reference cohort of women who were never offered HPV vaccination. By mid-2020, HPV vaccination had prevented an estimated 687 (95% CI 556 to 819) cervical cancers and 23 192 (22 163 to 24 220) CIN3s. The highest rates remained among women living in the most deprived areas, but the HPV vaccination programme had a large effect in all five levels of deprivation. In women offered catch-up vaccination, CIN3 rates decreased more in those from the least deprived areas than from the most deprived areas (reductions of 40.6% v 29.6% and 72.8% v 67.7% for women offered vaccination at age 16-18 and 14-16, respectively). The strong downward gradient in cervical cancer incidence from high to low deprivation in the reference unvaccinated group was no longer present among those offered the vaccine. Conclusions The high effectiveness of the national HPV vaccination programme previously seen in England continued during the additional 12 months of follow-up. HPV vaccination was associated with a substantially reduced incidence of cervical cancer and CIN3 across all five deprivation groups, especially in women offered routine vaccination. The cancer registry data analysed for this paper are securely held by the National Disease Registration Service (NDRS). Requests to access the data can be made through NHS England’s DARS service (<https://digital.nhs.uk/services/data-access-request-service-dars>). The Simulacrum (<https://simulacrum.healthdatainsight.org.uk/>) is a synthetic dataset developed by Health Data Insight and derived from anonymous cancer data provided by NHS England’s NDRS. Mid-year population estimates are freely downloadable from the Office for National Statistics website (<https://www.ons.gov.uk/>).

There’s new hope for an HIV vaccine

A trial vaccine has succeeded in generating low levels of antibodies needed to target HIV. It’s a first but much-needed step toward preventing infection.

“This is a scientific feat and gives the field great hope that one can construct an HIV vaccine regimen that directs the immune response along a path that is required for protection,”
There’s New Hope for an HIV Vaccine
A trial vaccine has succeeded in generating low levels of antibodies needed to target HIV. It’s a first but much-needed step toward preventing infection.

This new cancer drug is truly game-changing

A truly game-changing drug could dramatically improve survival rates. "Doctors are hailing “off the chart” trial results that show a new drug stopped lung cancer advancing for longer than any other treatment in medical history."

"More than half of patients (60%) diagnosed with advanced forms of lung cancer who took lorlatinib were still alive five years later with no progression in their disease" "The rate was 8% in patients treated with a standard drug, the trial found."
Trial results for new lung cancer drug are ‘off the charts’, say doctors
More than half of patients with advanced forms of disease who took lorlatinib were still alive after five years with no progression

Books: Progress in print

The Capitalist Manifesto, Why the Global Free Market Will Save the World, Johan Norberg (Available now)

Johan Norberg's latest book, published June 15th, 2023 with Atlantic Books, is available in hardback, audiobook, and is a must-read for anyone interested in human progress and the impact of economic growth on human living standards.

"Marx and Engels were right when they observed in The Communist Manifesto that free markets had in a short time created greater prosperity and more technological innovation than all previous generations combined. A century and a half later, all the evidence shows that capitalism has lifted millions from hunger and poverty."
"Despite the fact that the world population increased by more than 1.5 billion people", "the number of poor decreased by more than 1.1 billion. That is the greatest thing that has ever happened to mankind."
The Capitalist Manifesto – Atlantic Books
‘This book is an excellent explanation of why capitalism is not just successful, but morally right‘ Elon Musk ‘A joyful counterblast… packed with vivid examples… decisive’ The Economist ‘Compelling… Masterful’ Daily Mail ‘A timely reminder of the benefits of free and open trade’ Financial Times A vital exploration of capitalism and the benefits it brings […]

How Food Really Works, The Science of Feeding our Growing Planet — Vaclav Smil, Pre-Order for November 12th, 2024

"A myth-busting book about how the world produces and consumes its food and how to do so without killing the planet"
How Food Really Works by Vaclav Smil
A myth-busting book about how the world produces and consumes its food and how to do so without killing the planet

Data Point: The Most Important Graph In Human History

It's easy to get lost in the news and to find yourself thinking that modern civilization is pretty awful. If you want to shift your perspective on the progress of humanity, you need to zoom out slightly. That's why this single graph from the team at Gapminder, is the single most important graph in the history of human civilization.

Gapminder Tools
Animated global statistics that everyone can understand

Welcome to the single most important graph in the history of human civilization. ☝️

Extra news you might have missed:


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